Fed says spending cuts hurt recovery
WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve, in a carefully worded shift in language, signaled new concern Wednesday that constraints on federal spending are slowing the economy.
The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee concluded its May meeting by continuing to keep near zero its benchmark federal funds rate, an overnight rate that banks charge one another that influences the costs of borrowing for consumers and businesses alike.
But the real news was in the parsing of Wednesday's statement from the committee. It was nearly identical to the one issued at the conclusion of its last meeting March 20 but for a slight yet important wording change that indicated the budget sequester and restoration of the full payroll tax now are holding back an anemic recovery.
“Household spending and business fixed investment advanced, and the housing sector has strengthened further, but fiscal policy is restraining economic growth,” the Federal Open Market Committee's statement said.
That was almost identical to the March wording, except that back then, the Fed said that “fiscal policy has become somewhat more constrictive.”
It means that by the Fed's read of the latest economic indicators, actions taken by Congress and White House — or not taken, in the case of failing to reach a budget compromise and allowing automatic cuts to begin on March 1 — are harming the economy and the Fed's efforts to jumpstart it.
Another subtle change in the Fed's language noted that labor market conditions have shown some improvement “in recent months, on balance, but the unemployment rate remains elevated.” The prior statement did not include the “on balance” reference.
“By caging the language on the labor market with ‘on balance,' it implies the FOMC sees the weakness in March employment as largely temporary. This means steady-as-she-goes policy,” said Neil Dutta, head of economic research for Renaissance Macro Research in New York.
In other words, it means continuance for the foreseeable future of the Fed's controversial purchases of government bonds and mortgage bonds in order to drive down their interest rates and force investors to take more risks in the stock market and the broader economy. The Fed's been purchasing these bonds at a combined rate of $85 billion a month.
“Like a patient who has been administered too many antibiotics, the economy is less and less responsive to the Fed's continued monetary stimulus,” Rep. Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas, head of the House Financial Services Committee, said in a statement. “America is nearly five years into the Fed's historically unprecedented interventionist policies, and there is very little gain to show for it.” He added: “12 million Americans remain unemployed — a number roughly equal to the entire population of Ohio.”
Mainstream economists expected a slow start to 2013 and for the economy to gain steam by midyear. But the economy grew at a disappointing 2.5 percent from January to March, the Commerce Department reported on Friday, held back for the second consecutive quarter by sharp drops in government and defense spending.
Several measures of hiring now are showing a slowdown for employment, and economists are, for the third straight year, scaling back growth estimates.
Fed watchers on Wall Street had expected, but did not see, new language about a sinking inflation rate, which also points to a weakening economy. The Commerce Department also reported Friday that the Fed's favored gauge of inflation — a mouthful called the personal consumption expenditure price index — increased by 1.2 percent in the first three months of 2013 compared with the same period of 2012.
Inflation is on the rise in prices across the economy and is usually sparked by an economy heating up. The 1.2 percent rise in inflation as measured by the first quarter of each year marked the weakest such reading since late 2008, when a deep financial crisis was unfolding.
Show commenting policy
TribLive commenting policy
You are solely responsible for your comments and by using TribLive.com you agree to our Terms of Service.
We moderate comments. Our goal is to provide substantive commentary for a general readership. By screening submissions, we provide a space where readers can share intelligent and informed commentary that enhances the quality of our news and information.
While most comments will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive, moderating decisions are subjective. We will make them as carefully and consistently as we can. Because of the volume of reader comments, we cannot review individual moderation decisions with readers.
We value thoughtful comments representing a range of views that make their point quickly and politely. We make an effort to protect discussions from repeated comments either by the same reader or different readers.
We follow the same standards for taste as the daily newspaper. A few things we won't tolerate: personal attacks, obscenity, vulgarity, profanity (including expletives and letters followed by dashes), commercial promotion, impersonations, incoherence, proselytizing and SHOUTING. Don't include URLs to Web sites.
We do not edit comments. They are either approved or deleted. We reserve the right to edit a comment that is quoted or excerpted in an article. In this case, we may fix spelling and punctuation.
We welcome strong opinions and criticism of our work, but we don't want comments to become bogged down with discussions of our policies and we will moderate accordingly.
We appreciate it when readers and people quoted in articles or blog posts point out errors of fact or emphasis and will investigate all assertions. But these suggestions should be sent via e-mail. To avoid distracting other readers, we won't publish comments that suggest a correction. Instead, corrections will be made in a blog post or in an article.
- Popularity of emerging markets wanes
- Steelworkers union says ATI talks to resume
- Trib 30 takes bigger hit than Dow in August
- Sniffer lets PixController detect methane gas leaks
- ModCloth gets physical
- Tubman, Anthony win support for redesigned $10 bill
- Gasoline prices down nearly a dime in Pittsburgh area
- August stock markets marked by fierce, deep selling
- Rankings: CEO pay 200 times median
- S.W. Randall Toyes & Giftes of Pittsburgh’s owner finds joy in toys
- Shale gas violations down as DEP steps up inspections