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Gay marriage OK remains unlikely in Pa., analysts say

| Sunday, Nov. 18, 2012, 7:48 p.m.

HARRISBURG — Despite recent gains for gay marriage in a number of states, analysts say you needn't expect Pennsylvania to join their number anytime soon.

The (Harrisburg) Patriot-News says same-sex marriage did not become an issue in row office elections earlier this month despite support for the position by the three Democrats who swept the races.

Gov. Tom Corbett and many in the Republican-controlled General Assembly oppose gay marriage, and state law barring it would have to be repealed or struck down by a court.

A Franklin & Marshall poll in August 2011 found Pennsylvanians supported same-sex marriage 50 percent to 42 percent, a near-reversal of the positions recorded two years earlier. In both polls, however, respondents who said they opposed same-sex marriage described themselves as “strongly opposed.”

A Muhlenberg College poll in December found support among Pennsylvanians for same-sex marriage, 50 percent to 37 percent, but a poll of likely voters in September found 44 percent in favor of same-sex marriage, 45 percent opposed and the remainder undecided.

Likely voters are significantly older than the general population, said Muhlenberg professor Chris Borick.

“Support drops dramatically as age increases,” Borick said.

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