Support for second Corbett term stays low
The number of Pennsylvania voters who say Gov. Tom Corbett deserves a second term may be increasing, although the Republican has a steep climb in his re-election campaign, according to Franklin & Marshall College poll results released on Thursday.
About 23 percent of voters surveyed told pollsters Corbett has done a good enough job to stay in the governor's mansion — up from 20 percent in October — but 63 percent said they want a new chief executive in Harrisburg.
The poll, conducted from Jan. 22 to Jan. 27, reached 580 voters. Its sampling error range is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
The shift coincides with a worsening view of President Obama, whose job performance ranked as somewhat or strongly unfavorable among 48 percent of surveyed voters.
Forty-four percent of Pennsylvania voters in February 2013 had a similar assessment of Obama, who visited a U.S. Steel plant in West Mifflin on Wednesday after his annual State of the Union address.
“The honeymoon is way over,” said Jennie Sweet-Cushman, a Chatham University political science professor who said government wiretapping, privacy concerns and worries about the Affordable Care Act could depress Obama's approval rating in the Democratic-leaning Keystone State.
Political analysts said the brighter outlook for Corbett might stem, in part, from the November passage of a $2.3 billion transportation bill expected to improve state roads and bridges. His softer rhetoric on same-sex marriage and an absence of recent major crises could buoy his campaign as well, they said.
Franklin & Marshall poll director G. Terry Madonna said he knows of no sitting governor who has rebounded from such low approval numbers to win re-election. Several pollsters rank Corbett among the most vulnerable incumbent governors in the 2014 election cycle.
“The question is, can the numbers change? Can he somehow find a way to change the narrative?” Madonna said.
Other results show 62 percent of respondents said Pennsylvania is “off on the wrong track,” and 31 percent said unemployment and the economy are the state's top problems. Schools and school funding took second place with 19 percent.
Those who said Corbett's job performance was “fair” or “poor” chalked up their criticisms in part to his handling of schools and the economy. Predecessors Tom Ridge and Ed Rendell had more robust approval ratings late in their first terms — more than double Corbett's numbers — but benefitted from booming economies, Madonna said.
“The governor will certainly have to continue to do a better job of getting his message out. He's done a good job for the people of Pennsylvania,” Corbett campaign manager Mike Barley said. He said Corbett cut more than $1 billion in business taxes to help spur the economy.
Barley said most voters don't yet know the eight Democrats vying to challenge Corbett. The primary election is in May. He painted them as tax-and-spend politicians whose approach “isn't going to resonate with Pennsylvania voters.”
Democrats fired back. State party Chairman Jim Burn said the Franklin & Marshall poll is “just the latest evidence” of Corbett's vulnerability after cuts to education funding and other missteps, though observers said it's too soon to count out the incumbent.
“He's not going to be a pushover or an easy knock-over. If these poll data are correct, there's a bedrock of support for him and a large number of people who are fence-sitters or grade him as fair,” said Stephen J. Cimbala, a Penn State University professor of political science.
Adam Smeltz is a staff writer for Trib Total Media. He can be reached at 412-380-5676 or firstname.lastname@example.org.
Show commenting policy
TribLive commenting policy
You are solely responsible for your comments and by using TribLive.com you agree to our Terms of Service.
We moderate comments. Our goal is to provide substantive commentary for a general readership. By screening submissions, we provide a space where readers can share intelligent and informed commentary that enhances the quality of our news and information.
While most comments will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive, moderating decisions are subjective. We will make them as carefully and consistently as we can. Because of the volume of reader comments, we cannot review individual moderation decisions with readers.
We value thoughtful comments representing a range of views that make their point quickly and politely. We make an effort to protect discussions from repeated comments either by the same reader or different readers.
We follow the same standards for taste as the daily newspaper. A few things we won't tolerate: personal attacks, obscenity, vulgarity, profanity (including expletives and letters followed by dashes), commercial promotion, impersonations, incoherence, proselytizing and SHOUTING. Don't include URLs to Web sites.
We do not edit comments. They are either approved or deleted. We reserve the right to edit a comment that is quoted or excerpted in an article. In this case, we may fix spelling and punctuation.
We welcome strong opinions and criticism of our work, but we don't want comments to become bogged down with discussions of our policies and we will moderate accordingly.
We appreciate it when readers and people quoted in articles or blog posts point out errors of fact or emphasis and will investigate all assertions. But these suggestions should be sent via e-mail. To avoid distracting other readers, we won't publish comments that suggest a correction. Instead, corrections will be made in a blog post or in an article.
- Pittsburgh police break up customer fights over Air Jordan 11 shoes
- Kids treated to gifts, peaceful holiday party at Lincoln-Lemington church
- Environmental teachers glean new ideas from networking
- Christmas in Western Pa. predicted to be ‘slightly white’
- Newsmaker: Patrick Juola
- Pittsburgh adjusting to new bicycle lane, ‘stop boxes’
- Brashear High ‘little libraries’ program rolls out
- Tree recycling offered at Allegheny County parks
- Strip District merchants say pay stations will drive out shoppers relying on free spots
- Icy roads, cold causing school delays, wrecks in Western Pa.
- Second African penguin chick hatches at National Aviary