Starkey: Pirates will go 82-80 (really)
TribLIVE Sports Videos
A wise guy could concoct several diabolical scenarios for the Pirates' 127th season, which commences Monday at PNC Park.
One would see the Pirates race to an 80-41 start, only to lose 41 consecutive games and finish 80-82 (then launch an internal “review” that reveals nothing but the need to extend all management contracts).
Another would see the Pirates sitting at 80-81 going into their final game — on the precipice of snapping that pesky little 20-year losing streak — then grab a 17-0 lead only to see the game rained out with two outs in the top of the fifth.
But I'm no wise guy. Rather, I consider myself a visionary — and I recently experienced a powerful vision regarding the season at hand:
The Pirates will stumble into June several games below .500, then right the ship behind the powerful right arm of Gerrit Cole and at least one veteran addition to the rotation (surely, one of the following — Francisco Liriano, Jeff Karstens, Charlie Morton — will help).
We'll see a reversal of the past two years, when the Pirates whipped the city into a frenzy by mid-July only to melt like ice cubes in a blast furnace over the final two months.
This season won't have such wild swings. The Pirates will hang around .500 all summer, then finish with a bang — winning their final two games of the season in Cincinnati against the resting Reds (division clinched), to finish 82-80.
That would represent a mere three-game improvement but would qualify as a smashing success. And if you think predicting 82 wins is insane, consider this: Clint Hurdle threw out 95. It happened during spring training when Hurdle was on 93.7 The Fan:
Host: “I'm sure there's a lot of lessons learned from every season you manage. What was the biggest thing you took from 2012?”
Hurdle: “Controlling the grind more efficiently. … There's still a sense of angst in the clubhouse about the way we finished, because you feel you're better than that. You know what? The reality of the game shows you weren't. Your record's your record. We won 79 games. Lost 83 games. Where do you go from there? How do you get to 95? When people ask me a number, 95 is the number I throw out there, and people go, ‘Wow, that's a lot of … ' and I go, ‘Yeah, you're right, it's a lot of games!' I get it, but you know what? If we win 95, we're going to be in a good place.”
Hurdle went on to break down how the Pirates could add 16 games to their win total.Here's how I see adding three as realistic:
• Andrew McCutchen has another great year, this time with a finishing kick.
• Pedro Alvarez, who has played one full major league season, improves his discipline at the plate and concentration in the field.
• Neil Walker stays healthy.
• Garrett Jones and Gaby Sanchez provide a productive first-base platoon.
• James McDonald finds a happy medium between unhittable and unwatchable.
• Jason Grilli does a decent Joel Hanrahan.
• Cole adds a jolt of electricity when he arrives sometime in June.
• At least one veteran starter — Jonathan Sanchez, Morton, Karstens, Liriano — surprises.
• Jose Tabata has a rebound year, eventually assuming the starting job in right field and the leadoff spot.
• Starling Marte, once moved out of the leadoff role, settles down and becomes a productive big-leaguer.
• The catcher (Russell Martin) actually throws out some runners, assisted by a staff that actually tries to hold them.
Look, there are question marks all over the place. We know this. But the Pirates are due for some good luck. We're going on a quarter century of losing here.
I'm sticking with my vision. I'm sticking with 82. If things fall apart, feel free to remind of that. I will then remind you that at least I didn't completely lose my mind.
At least I didn't throw out 95.
Joe Starkey co-hosts a show 2 to 6 p.m. weekdays on 93.7 “The Fan.” His columns appear Thursdays and Sundays. Reach him at email@example.com.
Show commenting policy
TribLive commenting policy
You are solely responsible for your comments and by using TribLive.com you agree to our Terms of Service.
We moderate comments. Our goal is to provide substantive commentary for a general readership. By screening submissions, we provide a space where readers can share intelligent and informed commentary that enhances the quality of our news and information.
While most comments will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive, moderating decisions are subjective. We will make them as carefully and consistently as we can. Because of the volume of reader comments, we cannot review individual moderation decisions with readers.
We value thoughtful comments representing a range of views that make their point quickly and politely. We make an effort to protect discussions from repeated comments either by the same reader or different readers.
We follow the same standards for taste as the daily newspaper. A few things we won't tolerate: personal attacks, obscenity, vulgarity, profanity (including expletives and letters followed by dashes), commercial promotion, impersonations, incoherence, proselytizing and SHOUTING. Don't include URLs to Web sites.
We do not edit comments. They are either approved or deleted. We reserve the right to edit a comment that is quoted or excerpted in an article. In this case, we may fix spelling and punctuation.
We welcome strong opinions and criticism of our work, but we don't want comments to become bogged down with discussions of our policies and we will moderate accordingly.
We appreciate it when readers and people quoted in articles or blog posts point out errors of fact or emphasis and will investigate all assertions. But these suggestions should be sent via e-mail. To avoid distracting other readers, we won't publish comments that suggest a correction. Instead, corrections will be made in a blog post or in an article.
- Chamber lends support to bike event
- TJ roll to 4th straight win, rout Elizabeth Forward
- North Versailles restaurant, dance studio damaged in crash
- East Allegheny releases teacher salary figures
- Monument to Steel Valley Korean War hero relocated
- McKeesport men jailed following high-speed chase
- Martin’s homer rescues Pirates in 4-2 victory over Brewers
- Ringgold rolls over West Mifflin
- Marc USA acquires Boston-based Results:Digital
- Finally healthy, Letang looking to make his presence felt as a leader
- City’s plan for Strip flummoxes vendors