Starkey: Adams faces long road
By Joe Starkey
Published: Sunday, April 7, 2013, 12:01 a.m.
Steven Adams still isn't ready for college basketball, let alone the NBA.
But I'm rooting for him. How could anybody not?
I found it admirable that Adams declared for the NBA Draft after a nondescript freshman year at Pitt. He obviously is a well-intentioned kid who wants to help his struggling family in New Zealand.
I just wonder if the family could have held on for one more year, on the strong chance that Adams would have put himself in better position to help them for generations, rather than possibly just a short-term fix.
Ask a retired professional athlete how fast a pile of money can disappear when many hands are in it.
Who could blame Adams for making the jump? Nobody, really, but that is a different question than these:
• Will he maximize his earning potential?
• Will he even make it?
Sports Illustrated's Chris Mannix told me that every NBA general manager he has spoken with labeled Adams' leap some version of “a dumb move.” Mannix predicts Adams will go in the lower third of the first round and perhaps even drop to the second.
If he goes late in the first, he could be costing himself more than $4 million right off the bat — compared to what he would get as a possible top-10 pick next year — and untold millions later if he does not develop.
First-round picks are assured only two years of salary. Last year's fifth pick, Thomas Robinson, got a two-year guarantee of $6.9 million. Compare that to the 25th pick, Tony Wroten, who got $2.2 million.
Injury risk and all, Adams' best financial bet was to return to Pitt and enhance his stock.
And yes, I know the Mark Blount story. That's the one people reflexively cite when somebody questions an underdeveloped player entering the draft. Would those same people cite the Rocky story if somebody asked for advice on becoming a boxer?
Blount left Pitt after his sophomore year and was drafted 54th overall. He bounced around several leagues before returning to the NBA and landing a $38 million contract.
Great stuff. Now check out the 10 players drafted 54th between 2000-09: Corey Hightower, Maurice Jeffers, Mladen Sekularac, Rickey Paulding, Dijon Thompson, Hassan Adams, Brad Newley, Maarty Leunen, Robert Vaden and Willie Warren.
Adams should go much higher than 54th, but you get the point: There are far more cautionary tales — tales Adams himself was well-versed in — than success stories.
I also wonder about Adams' emotional readiness for pro basketball. He has lived a largely unsettled life and remains relatively new to this country. He's 19. How will he adapt to life on the road, living out of hotel rooms, rarely playing? And that's if he avoids starting in the Developmental League.
I'll always believe Adams was intent on coming back to Pitt before he returned to New Zealand for a recent visit. A newspaper there was the first to interview him.
Here's an excerpt from The Dominion Post of Wellington:
Adams came home to see his family in Rotorua and didn't like what he found.
“It's quite sad to see your family struggle,” Adams said. “I don't want to see that anymore.”
As has been well-documented, Adams is the youngest of 18 children. His father died when he was 13. He lived troubled teen years on the streets of his native Rotorua.
The newspaper said Adams was vague about which family members needed help.
I hope for their sake he makes it big.
I hope the money doesn't go too fast.
Joe Starkey co-hosts a show 2 to 6 p.m. weekdays on 93.7 “The Fan.” His columns appear Thursdays and Sundays. Reach him at email@example.com.
Show commenting policy
TribLive commenting policy
You are solely responsible for your comments and by using TribLive.com you agree to our Terms of Service.
We moderate comments. Our goal is to provide substantive commentary for a general readership. By screening submissions, we provide a space where readers can share intelligent and informed commentary that enhances the quality of our news and information.
While most comments will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive, moderating decisions are subjective. We will make them as carefully and consistently as we can. Because of the volume of reader comments, we cannot review individual moderation decisions with readers.
We value thoughtful comments representing a range of views that make their point quickly and politely. We make an effort to protect discussions from repeated comments either by the same reader or different readers.
We follow the same standards for taste as the daily newspaper. A few things we won't tolerate: personal attacks, obscenity, vulgarity, profanity (including expletives and letters followed by dashes), commercial promotion, impersonations, incoherence, proselytizing and SHOUTING. Don't include URLs to Web sites.
We do not edit comments. They are either approved or deleted. We reserve the right to edit a comment that is quoted or excerpted in an article. In this case, we may fix spelling and punctuation.
We welcome strong opinions and criticism of our work, but we don't want comments to become bogged down with discussions of our policies and we will moderate accordingly.
We appreciate it when readers and people quoted in articles or blog posts point out errors of fact or emphasis and will investigate all assertions. But these suggestions should be sent via e-mail. To avoid distracting other readers, we won't publish comments that suggest a correction. Instead, corrections will be made in a blog post or in an article.
- For Steelers defense, it’s all a matter of trust
- Latrobe couple accused of using car trunk to end son’s fear of the dark
- Jokinen takes center stage as fill-in for Pens’ Malkin
- Roundup: Apple wants Samsung to pay $22M for legal bills; FDA approves breakthrough hepatitis C drug; more
- Longtime intel adviser resigns as feds learn of link to China tech company
- West Mifflin stuns Serra with late rally
- Steelers notebook: Woodley expects to start Sunday vs. Dolphins
- Movies enhance language-learning program
- Pitt slows down Loyola Marymount, 85-68
- That’s a Jeep Cherokee? No retro in 2014 model
- Former personal assistant says Irish billionaire, former Heinz exec, owes her stocks, money