TribLIVE

| Sports


 
Larger text Larger text Smaller text Smaller text | Order Photo Reprints

Kentucky Derby analysis and picks: Orb is the choice

TribLIVE Sports Videos

By John Grupp
Saturday, May 4, 2013, 12:01 a.m.
 

Picks by Trib staff writer John Grupp for the 139th Kentucky Derby

1. BLACK ONYX: Scratched.

2. OXBOW: Lukas will have to wait for his fifth Derby win.

3. REVOLUTIONARY: The best of Todd Squad. Must use.

4. GOLDEN SOUL: Improving, but overmatched.

5. NORMANDY INVASION: Great value, if he gets the trip.

6. MYLUTE: The “Napravnik effect” will crush the odds.

7. GIANT FINISH: Won't be able to live up to his name.

8. GOLDENCENTS: His best puts him in mix. Have doubts.

9. OVERANALYZE: One career Beyer over 88. Pass.

10. PALACE MALICE: Move up if the track is sloppy.

11. LINES OF BATTLE: Euro invader will be a huge price.

12. ITSMYLUCKYDAY: He'll need more than good fortune.

13. FALLING SKY: A pace factor, but not much else.

14. VERRAZANO: Too many factors going against him. Toss.

15. CHARMING KITTEN: If this were a turf race, maybe.

16. ORB: Fla. Derby winner looks terrific. Top choice.

17. WILL TAKE CHARGE: This post is 0 for 34 since 1930.

18. FRAC DADDY: Far too inconsistent to have a chance.

19. JAVA'S WAR: Nothing suggests he can get part of this.

20. VYJACK: Outside post way too much to overcome.

DERBY CAPSULE ANALYSIS

#16 ORB has done nothing wrong this year. He's working great, has Hall of Fame trainer Shug McGaughey seeking first Derby win and hot jockey Joel Rosario. #5 NORMANDY INVASION needs a little bit of racing luck to finally display his ability. #3 REVOLUTIONARY will relish a wet track ­— rainstorms are in the forecast — and loved his wins in Withers and La. Derby. #11 LINES OF BATTLE will be a huge odds, and the distance and sloppy track won't be an issue.

Exacta key: 16/3-5-11

Exacta part-wheel: 3-5-1116

Exacta box: 3-5-11-16

Trifecta/superfecta key: 16/3-5-11

Trifecta/superfecta box: 3-5-11-16

Trifecta wheel: 16/3-5-11/all and 16/all/3-5-11

 

 
 


Show commenting policy

Most-Read Stories

  1. Search resumes for Tarentum Bridge jumper
  2. Steelers rookie says Sam, his former roommate, has changed
  3. Turbine sites near properties in Fayette County threatened
  4. Rossi: Buying trust is a must for Pirates
  5. Steelers aim to create more turnovers this year with speedier defense
  6. Violent month ends with 2 gun deaths; Allegheny County on track for 100+ this year
  7. Steelers notebook: Shoulder pads get technological boost for Ravens game
  8. Steelers extend Suisham’s contract through 2018
  9. With Spaling locked up, Penguins turn attention to signing Sutter
  10. Pirates’ attempts to bolster roster at deadline a fruitless endeavor
  11. Rostraver police identify suspect in homve invasion
Subscribe today! Click here for our subscription offers.