TribLIVE

| Sports


 
Larger text Larger text Smaller text Smaller text | Order Photo Reprints

Kentucky Derby analysis and picks: Orb is the choice

TribLIVE Sports Videos

Email Newsletters

Click here to sign up for one of our email newsletters.
By John Grupp
Saturday, May 4, 2013, 12:01 a.m.
 

Picks by Trib staff writer John Grupp for the 139th Kentucky Derby

1. BLACK ONYX: Scratched.

2. OXBOW: Lukas will have to wait for his fifth Derby win.

3. REVOLUTIONARY: The best of Todd Squad. Must use.

4. GOLDEN SOUL: Improving, but overmatched.

5. NORMANDY INVASION: Great value, if he gets the trip.

6. MYLUTE: The “Napravnik effect” will crush the odds.

7. GIANT FINISH: Won't be able to live up to his name.

8. GOLDENCENTS: His best puts him in mix. Have doubts.

9. OVERANALYZE: One career Beyer over 88. Pass.

10. PALACE MALICE: Move up if the track is sloppy.

11. LINES OF BATTLE: Euro invader will be a huge price.

12. ITSMYLUCKYDAY: He'll need more than good fortune.

13. FALLING SKY: A pace factor, but not much else.

14. VERRAZANO: Too many factors going against him. Toss.

15. CHARMING KITTEN: If this were a turf race, maybe.

16. ORB: Fla. Derby winner looks terrific. Top choice.

17. WILL TAKE CHARGE: This post is 0 for 34 since 1930.

18. FRAC DADDY: Far too inconsistent to have a chance.

19. JAVA'S WAR: Nothing suggests he can get part of this.

20. VYJACK: Outside post way too much to overcome.

DERBY CAPSULE ANALYSIS

#16 ORB has done nothing wrong this year. He's working great, has Hall of Fame trainer Shug McGaughey seeking first Derby win and hot jockey Joel Rosario. #5 NORMANDY INVASION needs a little bit of racing luck to finally display his ability. #3 REVOLUTIONARY will relish a wet track ­— rainstorms are in the forecast — and loved his wins in Withers and La. Derby. #11 LINES OF BATTLE will be a huge odds, and the distance and sloppy track won't be an issue.

Exacta key: 16/3-5-11

Exacta part-wheel: 3-5-1 116

Exacta box: 3-5-11-16

Trifecta/superfecta key: 16/3-5-11

Trifecta/superfecta box: 3-5-11-16

Trifecta wheel: 16/3-5-11/all and 16/all/3-5-11

Subscribe today! Click here for our subscription offers.

 

 


Show commenting policy

Most-Read Stories

  1. Emergency crews check report of Hempfield ATV-train crash
  2. Pirates chase Mets’ Harvey early in rout
  3. Ex-Baldwin, Pitt star Pinkston not giving up on NFL dream
  4. Man shot multiple times in Hill; suspects sought
  5. Pa. gaming industry’s growth amplifies siren call for addicts
  6. Former pitcher Allie happily adjusting to outfield
  7. Going the distance no longer part of the game
  8. Harlan: Coveted North Hills lineman fits up-tempo style
  9. ‘Ninja Warrior’ breathes life into Carrie Furnaces
  10. Coroners, organ harvesting group spar over procurement process
  11. Book details secret to Pirates’ turnaround