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Analyzing the 138th Preakness Stakes

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By John Grupp

Published: Friday, May 17, 2013, 6:30 p.m.

Orb

Post position: 1.

Odds: Even

Jockey: Joel Rosario. Finished third last year on Creative Cause in only Preakness start.

Trainer: Shug McGaughey. Winless in two tries, most recently Easy Goer (second) in '89.

Sire: Malibu Moon (A.P. Indy); Dam: Lady Liberty (Unbridled).

Record, earnings: 8: 5-0-1; $2,335,850.

Last start: Won Kentucky Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 104.

Positives: Came out of Derby in great shape for Hall of Fame trainer.

Negatives: Rail post has one win in past 52 runnings of Preakness.

Goldencents

Post position: 2.

Odds: 8-1.

Jockey: Kevin Krigger. Trying to become first black jockey to win Preakness since 1898.

Trainer: Doug O'Neill. Won last year's Preakness with I'll Have Another.

Sire: Into Mischief (Harlan's Holiday); Dam: Golden Works (Banker's Gold).

Record, earnings: 7: 4-1-0; $1,250,000.

Last start: 17th, Kentucky Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 105.

Positives: Trainer won last year, best effort puts him in mix.

Negatives: Quit running in Derby, finished 49 1 2 lengths behind Orb.

Titletown Five

Post position: 3.

Odds: 30-1.

Jockey: Julien Leparoux. Hit the board once in five Preakness mounts.

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas. Five-time Preakness winner, most recent Charismatic in '99.

Sire: Tiznow (Cee's Tizzy); Dam: D'Wildcat Speed (Forest Wildcat).

Record, earnings: 7: 1-2-1; $87,398.

Last start: Fourth, Derby Trial.

Top Beyer figure: 98.

Positives: Good early speed should assure him a good, clean trip.

Negatives: Classic distance will be big obstacle, overmatched.

Departing

Post position: 4.

Odds: 6-1.

Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr. Louisianian makes first Preakness start.

Trainer: Al Stall Jr. Saddles second Preakness starter (Terrain, 7th, in '07).

Sire: War Front (Danzig); Dam: Leave (Pulpit).

Record, earnings: 5: 4-0-1; $628,000.

Last start: Won Illinois Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 97.

Positives: Well-rested after skipping Derby, looking fit.

Negatives: Only three of past 29 Preakness winners didn't run in Derby.

Mylute

Post position: 5.

Odds: 5-1.

Jockey: Rosie Napravnik. Only third female to ride in Preakness, first since '94.

Trainer: Thomas Amoss. Saddled only other Preakness starter in 1998.

Sire: Midnight Lute (Real Quiet); Dam: Stage Stop (Valid Expectations).

Record, earnings: 10: 2-3-2; $477,695

Last start: Fifth, Kentucky Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 99.

Positives: Was moving as well as anyone at end of Derby.

Negatives: Closing style could hurt in speed-favoring race.

Oxbow

Post position: 6.

Odds: 15-1.

Jockey: Gary Stevens. Won aboard Silver Charm ('97) and Point Given ('01) among 16 Preakness starts.

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas.

Sire: Awesome Again (Deputy Minister); Dam: Tizamazing (Cee's Tizzy).

Record, earnings: 10: 2-1-1; $383,500.

Last start: Sixth, Kentucky Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 95.

Positives: Trainer/jockey have combined for seven Preakness wins.

Negatives: Tired in final eighth-mile of Derby, now comes right back.

Will Take Charge

Post position: 7.

Odds: 12-1.

Jockey: Mike Smith. Won aboard Prairie Bayou ('93), in money each of past four years.

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas.

Sire: Unbridled's Song (Unbridled); Dam: Take Charge Lady (Dehere).

Record, earnings: 9: 3-1-0; $545,371.

Last start: Eighth, Kentucky Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 95

Positives: Bad luck in Derby cost him much better finish, positive jockey switch.

Negatives: Has never won at longer than 11⁄16-mile.

Govenor Charlie

Post position: 8.

Odds: 12-1.

Jockey: Martin Garcia. Won aboard Lookin At Lucky in '10.

Trainer: Bob Baffert. Five-time Preakness winner, including Lookin At Lucky.

Sire: Midnight Lute (Real Quiet); Dam: Silverbulletway (Storm Cat)

Record, earnings: 3: 2-1-0; $444,800.

Last start: Won Sunland Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 96.

Positives: Baffert has five winners in 13 starts in second leg of Triple Crown.

Negatives: Will be making only fourth lifetime start, and two were maiden specials.

Itsmyluckyday

Post position: 9.

Odds: 10-1.

Jockey: John Velazquez. Hall of Famer is winless in five Preakness mounts.

Trainer: Eddie Plesa Jr. Only other Preakness runner finished seventh (Hey Byrn, '08).

Sire: Lawyer Ron (Langfuhr); Dam: Viva La Slew (Doneraile Court).

Record, earnings: 11: 5-2-1; $625,600.

Last start: 15th, Kentucky Derby.

Top Beyer figure: 104.

Positives: Bullet work Sunday, major jockey upgrade over Derby.

Negatives: Tired in final furlong at Derby, and stamina remains concern.

 

 
 


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