TribLIVE

| Sports


 
Larger text Larger text Smaller text Smaller text | Order Photo Reprints

Projections forecast regression in upcoming season for Pirates

Pirates/MLB Videos

Email Newsletters

Click here to sign up for one of our email newsletters.

Pirates podcasts

  • Loading...
Thursday, Feb. 6, 2014, 9:51 p.m.
 

Some of baseball's top projection systems are calling for the Pirates to regress from their 2013 level of performance, which included a 94-win regular season and playoff berth.

Baseball Prospectus updated its projected 2014 standings this week and is calling for the Pirates to finish 78-84, good for fourth in National League Central.

The projection has the Pirates 10 games behind the first-place St. Louis Cardinals and also trailing the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers.

Baseball Prospectus has the Pirates remaining stagnant offensively, projecting them to score the fifth-fewest runs in the National League (653), and calls for the Pirates to surrender 104 more runs than they allowed last season — a jump from 577 runs allowed in 2013 to projecting 681 runs allowed in 2014.

Another prominent projection released recently is more optimistic.

Clay Davenport's 2014 projection calls for the Pirates to finish second in the NL Central and two games out of the final wild-card spot, finishing with an 83-79 mark, seven games behind the Cardinals.

The projection systems are skeptical the Pirates bullpen can repeat its 2013 performance. There's also that Francisco Liriano has struggled with consistency throughout his career and the Pirates have made few roster upgrades this offseason.

Travis Sawchik is a staff writer for Trib Total Media. Reach him at tsawchik@tribweb.com or via Twitter @Sawchik_Trib.

Subscribe today! Click here for our subscription offers.

 

 

 


Show commenting policy

Most-Read Pirates

  1. Behind starter Liriano, Pirates complete sweep of Diamondbacks
  2. Pirates notebook: Wainwright injury doesn’t sway Hurdle on DH
  3. Gameday: Pirates at Cubs, April 27, 2015
  4. Pirates notebook: GM sticking to plan with Kang
  5. Polanco, bullpen come up clutch as Pirates capture win over Cubs
  6. Pirates notebook: Burnett, Cervelli rekindle bond
  7. Cubs’ rookie third baseman Bryant helps send Pirates to defeat
  8. Pirates notebook: Fan struck by foul ball released from hospital
  9. Super-agent Boras says Pirates will have opportunity to re-sign Alvarez, Cole
  10. Pirates’ Cole reinforces status as emerging ace
  11. Biertempfel: Observations from a day at the ballpark