... & bogus forecasting
Researchers who reviewed global-warming "forecasting" have found that procedures followed by the United Nations' chief climate cluckers violated 81 percent of 89 relevant forecasting principles.
Along with other experts who have peeked behind the curtain of climate change, these researchers have come to a common conclusion: The alarm over man-made global warming is an anti-scientific political movement.
In a presentation to Congress, J. Scott Armstrong of the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania -- whose own work in forecasting methods is internationally known -- said the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has failed to demonstrate the "predictive validity" of its procedures.
And yet the IPCC's calls for action are based on predicted climate conditions, says Dr. Armstrong, who worked with researchers from the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics and the University of South Australia.
Rather than defend its dubious predictions, the IPCC insists "that nearly all scientists agree with the forecast," according to the researchers' findings published by The Heartland Institute ( heartland.org ), a nonprofit research organization. "Such an appeal to 'voting' is contrary to the scientific method. It is also incorrect."
As forecasts go, the IPCC's future credibility is especially bleak.
Show commenting policy
TribLive commenting policy
- Steelers wrap lackluster preseason with loss to Panthers
- Steelers notebook: Safety Mitchell faces former team, hurts leg
- Free lunch for Highlands, New Ken schools eliminates stigma
- Roundup: McDonald’s says 3 more Russian restaurants closed; Fed Chair Yellen’s assets up 8% during 2013; more
- Penguins confident Pouliot will be healthy, ready for camp
- Young adults drive home rental trend in Western Pennsylvania
- RMU falls to Eastern Kentucky in Banaszak’s coaching debut
- Videotaping suspect from Greensburg doesn’t show at hearing
- WPIAL teams value hard-to-come-by nonconference games in Week 1
- Hundred Wood reclaims part of Point Park’s Downtown Pittsburgh campus
- Small Pittsburgh theaters are big hits with movie-theme parties