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Tebow an intriguing fantasy prospect

| Thursday, Dec. 23, 2010

Do not be confused: Tim Tebow is not a poor man's Michael Vick, mostly because the Broncos are not a poor man's Philadelphia Eagles.

But the former Heisman Trophy winner was an intriguing — if mediocre — 8 of 16 for 138 yards passing with eight carries for 78 yards rushing against the Raiders this past week. What's more, the Broncos showed signs of life for the first time in recent games, producing 23 points against a decent Oakland defense.

On its own, that gives Tebow some potential as the fantasy playoffs approach championship week. Coupled with the best-case matchup against the woeful Houston Texans secondary, and you can make a case to start Tebow in your playoffs, if:

• You start two quarterbacks.

• Your other quarterback options are Kyle Orton or another of the glut of injured starters.

• You are a huge underdog.

Prediction: 12 of 20 for 186 yards, one touchdown, two interceptions with six carries, 43 yards and one touchdown on the ground for about 13 fantasy points.

Our top 10, plus a breakout candidate, for Week 16 and the championship game of many fantasy leagues:


1. Michael Vick, Phi vs. Min

2. Matt Schaub, Hou at Den

3. Peyton Manning, Ind at Oak

4. Philip Rivers, SD at Cin

5. David Garrard, Jac vs. Was

6. Josh Freeman, TB vs. Sea

7. Tom Brady, NE at Buf

8. Drew Brees, NO at Atl

9. Jon Kitna Dal, at Ari

10. Ben Roethlisberger, Pit vs. Car

Digging deep: Shaun Hill, Detroit at Miami — In seven complete games, he has averaged 290 yards passing.


1. Arian Foster, Hou at Den

2. Darren McFadden, Oak vs. Ind

3. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac vs. Was

4. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, NE at Buf

5. Rashard Mendenhall, Pit vs. Car

6. Jamaal Charles, KC vs. Ten

7. Chris Johnson, Ten at KC

8. Michael Turner, Atl vs. NO

9. Steven Jackson, Stl vs. SF

10. Ray Rice, Bal at Cle

Digging deep: Tashard Choice, Dallas at Arizona — Getting the bulk of Dallas' goal-line carries besides taking a share of the workload.


1. Andre Johnson Hou at Den

2. Greg Jennings, GB NYG

3. Calvin Johnson, Det at Mia

4. Vincent Jackson, SD at Cin

5. Steve Johnson, Buf vs. NE

6. Mike Wallace, Pit vs. Car

7. Reggie Wayne, Ind at Oak

8. Roddy White, Atl vs. NO

9. Brandon Lloyd, Den vs. Hou

10. Larry Fitzgerald, Ari vs. Dal

Digging deep: Pierre Garcon, Indianapolis at Oakland — With Austin Collie out (again), Garcon will continue to get targets.


1. Jason Witten, Dal at Ari

2. Jacob Tamme, Ind at Oak

3. Vernon Davis, SF at Stl

4. Owen Daniels, Hou at Den

5. Kellen Winslow, TB vs. Sea

6. Marcedes Lewis, Jac vs. Was

7. Kevin Boss, NYG at GB

8. Chris Cooley, Was at Jac

9. Ben Watson, Cle vs. Bal

10. Brandon Pettigrew, Det at Mia

Digging deep: Randy McMichael, San Diego at Cincinnati — Filling in for Antonio Gates gives him value, but don't expect red-zone looks.


1. Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Car

2. New England Patriots at Buf

3. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Min

4. San Diego Chargers at Cin

5. New York Jets at Chi

6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Sea

7. Green Bay Packers vs. NYG

8. Detroit Lions at Mia

9. Chicago Bears vs. NYJ

10. Baltimore Ravens at Cle

Digging deep: Dallas at Arizona — Defenses have feasted on Arizona's offense; the Cardinals are giving up the third most fantasy points to defenses this season.


1. Sebastian Janikowski, Oak vs. Ind

2. Neil Rackers, Hou at Den

3. Dave Rayner, Det at Mia

4. Matt Bryant, Atl vs. NO

5. Adam Vinatieri, Ind at Oak

6. Shayne Graham, NE at Buf

7. Jay Feely, Ari vs. Dal

8. Dan Carpenter, Mia vs. Det

9. Nate Kaeding, SD at Cin

10. David Akers, Phi vs. Min

Digging deep: Mason Crosby, Green Bay at New York Giants — Packers can score even with Aaron Rodgers banged up.


Toby Gerhart, Min RB

Tim Tebow, Den QB

Derrick Ward, Hou RB


Mark Sanchez, NYJ QB

Sam Bradford, Stl QB

Anquan Boldin, Bal WR


Nate Washington, Tennessee — Expect Kenny Britt to attract a lot of attention from the Chiefs' secondary, opening up space.

Mike Williams, Seattle — Solid return last week shows Seahawks' passing plans still center around him.


Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota — It's a lost season. Don't expect much from Peterson even if he plays.

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay — Cleared to play following concussion, but the Giants have a strong pass rush.

Drew Stanton, QB, Detroit — Reportedly separated shoulder means Shaun Hill should have first crack at Dolphins.

Matt Cassel, QB, Kansas City — Started last week but didn't help fantasy owners. Expect more of the same.

Terrell Owens, WR, Cincinnati — Torn meniscus ended his season. Get Jordan Shipley ready.


Toby Gerhart might not be Adrian Peterson, but he has done one thing better than Peterson this season — less negative rushes. With the focus on him as the starter, that could change, but Gerhart still ranks among the leaders in fewest stuffs:

Michael Bush, Oak — 130 attempts, 4 stuffs (3.1 percent)

Danny Woodhead, NE — 82, 3 (3.7)

Jason Snelling, Atl — 78, 3 (3.8)

John Kuhn, GB — 74, 3 (4.1)

Peyton Hillis, Cle — 252, 12 (4.8)

Ricky Williams, Mia — 139, 7 (5.0)

Toby Gerhart, Min — 77, 4 (5.2)

Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac — 299, 17 (5.7)

Shonn Green, NYJ — 173, 10 (5.8)

Jamaal Charles, KC — 203, 12 (5.9)

Source: Stats LLC

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