ShareThis Page
Featured Commentary

Marc A. Thiessen: Don't let red-state Dems off tax-reform hook

| Wednesday, Nov. 8, 2017, 9:00 p.m.
Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., talks to the media on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C. (AP Photo | Carolyn Kaster)
Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., talks to the media on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C. (AP Photo | Carolyn Kaster)

When Republicans brought their budget to the Senate floor last month, they were bracing for what is known on Capitol Hill as a “vote-a-rama,” in which Democrats would keep the Senate in session until the wee hours, forcing Republicans to cast dozens of politically toxic votes on everything from gun control to legalizing the immigration status of Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals recipients.

But the “vote-a-rama” never materialized. Democrats simply stood down.

Why? Because they knew that what was toxic for Republicans would be even more toxic for vulnerable Senate Democrats running next year for re-election in states President Donald Trump won by double digits. Democrats are deeply worried about the fates of Sens. Joe Manchin III of West Virginia, Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota, Jon Tester of Montana, Claire McCaskill of Missouri and Joe Donnelly of Indiana. If Trump can pick off some or all of these seats, then he could finally have what he needs to pass key legislation with GOP votes alone. And the Democrats' chances of taking control of the Senate two years later in 2020 could slip away.

This is good news for Republicans, but especially for Trump's efforts to pass tax reform. If Democrats are running scared in red states, then Trump can turn the screws on them to vote with him or pay a price in November 2018.

For a while, it appeared Trump was actively courting these Democrats. But now it looks as if he may be giving up. “It'll be hard getting the Democrats because they are obstructionists and they vote in blocs,” he told the Heritage Foundation, “but if we get the Republicans we need, which is virtually every single one of them ... you will see things happen like have never happened before.”

Giving up would be a mistake. With ObamaCare, Republicans pre-emptively announced that they planned to pass the repeal-and-replace bill with only Republican votes. That let red-state Democrats off the hook, and they paid no price for voting against Trump. He should not let them get away with failing to cooperate this time. Instead, he should turn up the heat.

Trump will be a formidable opponent if these senators cross him. He should be a constant presence in their home states for the next two months, rallying voters behind his tax-reform plan and warning that its success or failure depends on how their Democrat senator votes.

If he turns up the pressure, he wins, no matter what. If the Democrats capitulate, tax reform will almost certainly pass. If they vote against him in spite of such a campaign, then Trump has teed up the GOP for big gains in the Senate.

The only bad option is giving them a free pass again. If Trump fails to put the squeeze on them and does not pass tax reform, the odds of losing the Senate will grow. If Democrats win the Senate, the Trump presidency would effectively be over. No more judges, no more nominees. Democrats would control the Senate's investigative committees, handing them unbridled subpoena power. And, should they win the House as well, Democrats could have the votes to bring impeachment proceedings against Trump if they so choose.

The way forward for Trump is clear: Make Democrats vote for tax reform or pay a political price. Don't let them off the hook.

Marc A. Thiessen, a fellow with the American Enterprise Institute and former chief speechwriter to President George W. Bush, writes an online column for The Washington Post.

TribLIVE commenting policy

You are solely responsible for your comments and by using TribLive.com you agree to our Terms of Service.

We moderate comments. Our goal is to provide substantive commentary for a general readership. By screening submissions, we provide a space where readers can share intelligent and informed commentary that enhances the quality of our news and information.

While most comments will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive, moderating decisions are subjective. We will make them as carefully and consistently as we can. Because of the volume of reader comments, we cannot review individual moderation decisions with readers.

We value thoughtful comments representing a range of views that make their point quickly and politely. We make an effort to protect discussions from repeated comments either by the same reader or different readers

We follow the same standards for taste as the daily newspaper. A few things we won't tolerate: personal attacks, obscenity, vulgarity, profanity (including expletives and letters followed by dashes), commercial promotion, impersonations, incoherence, proselytizing and SHOUTING. Don't include URLs to Web sites.

We do not edit comments. They are either approved or deleted. We reserve the right to edit a comment that is quoted or excerpted in an article. In this case, we may fix spelling and punctuation.

We welcome strong opinions and criticism of our work, but we don't want comments to become bogged down with discussions of our policies and we will moderate accordingly.

We appreciate it when readers and people quoted in articles or blog posts point out errors of fact or emphasis and will investigate all assertions. But these suggestions should be sent via e-mail. To avoid distracting other readers, we won't publish comments that suggest a correction. Instead, corrections will be made in a blog post or in an article.

click me