Jonah Goldberg: Biden’s best bet is front-porch campaign
Here’s an idea: Joe Biden should run a front-porch campaign.
Front-porch campaigns were once a common feature of American presidential politics, though the term wasn’t always applied to the practice. The most famous front-porch campaigns were in the 1880s and 1890s, culminating in William McKinley’s successful bid in 1896. While populist Democrat William Jennings Bryan crisscrossed the nation, giving speeches from any soapbox he could find, McKinley largely stayed home and campaigned from his front porch, where the national media had set up camp. McKinley spent more money — on advertising, organizing and surrogates — but less time pressing the flesh with the voters.
In 1924, the first radio campaign ads began. For the next 28 years, radio would be the leading edge of political communication, as Franklin D. Roosevelt demonstrated when he ran a kind of front-porch campaign in the form of “fireside chats.” Then, in 1952, Dwight D. Eisenhower cut the first presidential TV commercials — marketed as “Eisenhower Answers America.” This, too, was an update on the front-porch model.
Television dominated political campaigns for the next 60 years or so. But it seems TV is no longer the indispensable tool it once was. According to Ad Age, spending on digital advertising grew 789% from 2012 to 2016. That trend will only continue.
Which brings me to Biden. There are three reasons he should consider running a front-porch campaign for the digital age: because he can, because it would be good for him, and because it just might be good for the country.
Biden is crushing Donald Trump in the polls in no small part because he is a known quantity. Biden’s lead in matchups between Trump and various Democratic candidates is his single greatest advantage in the Democratic primaries.
The risk for Biden is that he’s not a good presidential campaigner, as his two prior attempts demonstrated.
So why play the game the way the others are playing it? In most sports, when you’re ahead by double digits, the smart (though boring) strategy is to play it safe and sit on your lead.
He should borrow a page from Beto O’Rourke and release videos on Instagram or Facebook on his terms. Yes, I know that strategy isn’t working for O’Rourke, but that’s because O’Rourke isn’t the front-runner. The front-runners always get attention because they’re the front-runners.
The media and the activist base of the Democratic Party want a lot of drama and ideological radicalism — partly because both groups are well to the left of not just the average American but the average Democrat, and partly because drama makes for better ratings. But most voters are sick of all the drama, and they’re turned off by calls for socialism and the like.
This isn’t an endorsement of Biden but rather an endorsement of a more dignified form of presidential campaigning. The presidency has grown ever more populist over the last few decades, and that’s contributed significantly to the ugliness of our politics. Biden is trying to run as a figure who represents all Americans — which is why he takes pains to say nice things about Republicans and Trump voters. That’s a smart electoral strategy, if he can win the nomination.
Getting in the Democratic mosh pit undercuts that strategy and his chances for winning the nomination. There’s no rule that says he has to do that.
Jonah Goldberg is editor-in-chief of The Dispatch and the host of The Remnant podcast. His Twitter handle is @JonahDispatch