95th Academy Awards odds are out: See who’s favored to win the major Oscars

BY ZACH EWING | Home Field Sports

It’s awards season in the entertainment industry, and the crown jewel event, the 95th Academy Awards, is coming on Sunday, March 12, to honor the best in film and movies over the past year.

The anticipation always boils over when each envelope is opened and we find out the winner, but it builds slowly, with weeks of guessing at winners and lobbying for your favorites to come. If you really feel strongly, you can even bet on the Academy Awards. They’re offered by several major sportsbooks — that includes FanDuel Sportsbook.

“Everything Everywhere All At Once,” an adventure film about a Chinese immigrant who must connect with parallel-universe versions of herself, received 11 nominations and is the favorite to win Best Picture. FanDuel lists those odds at -700, meaning you’d profit $10 for every $70 you wager.

In betting odds, heavier favorites have higher negative numbers. A positive number represents an implied probability of less than 50%, with higher numbers meaning longer odds (for example, +2000 means 20-to-1 odds). The -700 odds give “Everything” a huge implied probability to be the Best Picture winner.

After that, the odds become dramatically longer: “The Banshees of Inisherin” is +1100, “All Quiet on the Western Front” is +1400 and “The Fabelmans” and “Top Gun: Maverick” are +2900. No other movie has better than 50-to-1 odds.

All of the other major Oscar categories have odds-on (better than 50% implied probability) favorites, though only one heavier than “Everything” is for Best Picture.

Brendan Fraser is a -160 favorite (profit $10 for every $16 wagered) in the Best Actor market for his performance in “The Whale” as a reclusive teacher who fights obesity. The other top contenders, according to the odds, are Austin Butler, who is +105 for his portrayal of Elvis Presley in “Elvis” and Colin Farrell (“Banshees”) at +1100.

For Best Actress, Michelle Yeoh is a slight favorite, checking in at -140 for her lead role in “Everything.” Cate Blanchett is not far behind at +105 for her role as Lydia Tár, an orchestra conductor accused of sexual abuse in the movie “Tár.”

The duo of Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, also known as The Daniels, are the favorite for Best Director, also for “Everything.” Their odds at FanDuel are -1800, huge favorites over two-time winner Steven Spielberg (+850 for “The Fabelmans”). Todd Field is a very distant third at 29-to-1 for “Tár.”

ODDS FOR MAJOR ACADEMY AWARDS

(From FanDuel Sportsbook as of Wednesday, March 8)

Best picture

Everything Everywhere All at Once, -700

The Banshees of Inisherin, +1100

All Quiet on the Western Front, +1400

The Fabelmans, +2900

Top Gun: Maverick, +2900

Tár, +6500

Elvis, +8000

Women Talking, +10000

Avatar: The Way of Water, +10000

Triangle of Sadness, +10000

Best Director

Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once), -1800

Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans), +850

Todd Field (Tár), +2900

Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), +3500

Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness), +6500

Best Actress

Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once), -140

Cate Blanchett (Tár), +105

Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie), +2900

Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans), +3400

Ana De Armas (Blonde), +6500

Best Actor

Brendan Fraser (The Whale), -160

Austin Butler (Elvis), +105

Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin), +1100

Paul Mescal (Aftersun), +4100

Bill Nighy (Living), +8000

OTHER FAVORITES

Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once), -2000

Best Supporting Actress: Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), +130

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