BetMGM Basketball: Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Apr. 27
● The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
● Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
● Wednesday, April 27, 2022 at 10:00pm EDT
● Watch the game on NBCS-BA & ALT
The Denver Nuggets visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 38-48 against the spread, while the Warriors are 44-38 against the spread.
The Nuggets vs Warriors Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.
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Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Team | Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline
Denver Nuggets | +8.5 -110 | O 225.5 -110 | 310
Golden State Warriors | -8.5 -110 | U 225.5 -110 | -400
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone:
● 38-48 against the Spread (-14.85 Units / -15.7% ROI)
● 49-37 against the Moneyline (-14.5 Units / -7.06% ROI)
● 50-35 against the Over for game total points (+11.5 Units / 12.16% ROI)
● 35-50 against the Under for game total points (-20 Units / -21.14% ROI)
Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Won:
● The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 74 games (+21.61 Units / 27% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 74 games (+20.50 Units / 25% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+16.58 Units / 22% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+15.18 Units / 30% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nuggets, Ranked by Units Lost:
● The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 80 games (-29.00 Units / -33% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 74 games (-27.80 Units / -34% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 86 games (-24.21 Units / -26% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-20.42 Units / -25% ROI)
● The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.26 Units / -25% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone:
● 44-38 against the Spread (+2.1 Units / 2.22% ROI)
● 56-30 against the Moneyline (-6.75 Units / -2.27% ROI)
● 39-45 against the Over for game total points (-10.5 Units / -11.11% ROI)
● 45-39 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.22% ROI)
Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Won:
● The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+14.84 Units / 22% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 42 games at home (+9.68 Units / 9% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.88 Units / 19% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 83 games (+8.78 Units / 10% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Lost:
● The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 68 games (-20.60 Units / -28% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-18.53 Units / -29% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-17.44 Units / -21% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-16.93 Units / -18% ROI)
● The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 85 games (-14.65 Units / -16% ROI)
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Nuggets were 7-3 (.700) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503
The Nuggets are 43-18 (.705) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Nuggets are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Nuggets are 14-5 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Warriors are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468
The Warriors were 36-8 (.818) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677
The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514
The Warriors are 17-5 (.773) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Nuggets - Wednesday’s Game, Apr. 27
● James Wiseman (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Wiseman will miss the rest of the season as he recovers from a right knee injury.
● Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. has been cleared for on-court contact and is hoping to return sometime in March, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
● Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is recovering from a torn ACL and no timetable has been announced for his return.
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 14.7 assists per game (633 assists/43 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
The Nuggets have 18.0 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.8
The Nuggets have averaged 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (376 rebounds/43 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3
The Nuggets are shooting 50% (2,609/5,184) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8
The Warriors have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (661 turnovers/44 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2
The Warriors have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have averaged 13.5 assists per game (592 assists/44 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.5
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (164 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (249 blocks/59 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets stole the ball 582 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (487 blocks/115 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (420 steals/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,603 rebounds/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3
The Warriors have 1,001 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (513 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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