BetMGM Basketball: Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 03
- The Heat (38-21) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nets (31-29)
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Thursday, March 3, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on YESHeat vs Nets Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions - NBA, 03-03
The Miami Heat visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Brooklyn.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 36-26 against the spread, while the Nets are 24-36 against the spread.
The Heat vs Nets Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.
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Heat vs. Nets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
|
Spread |
Over / Under |
Moneyline |
|
|
Miami Heat |
-2.5 -110 |
O 220.5 -110 |
-135 |
|
Brooklyn Nets |
+2.5 -110 |
U 220.5 -110 |
110 |
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:
● 36-26 against the Spread (+7.3 Units / 10.52% ROI)
● 41-22 against the Moneyline (+17.75 Units / 12.48% ROI)
● 38-25 against the Over for game total points (+10.5 Units / 15.15% ROI)
● 25-38 against the Under for game total points (-16.8 Units / -24.24% ROI)
Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Won:
● The Miami Heat have covered the Moneyline in 34 of their last 51 games (+18.60 Units / 16% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+14.66 Units / 23% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have covered the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.90 Units / 22% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.82 Units / 26% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
● The Miami Heat have only covered the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-19.70 Units / -31% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 58 games (-17.57 Units / -28% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have only covered the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-16.99 Units / -26% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have only covered the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.92 Units / -32% ROI)
● The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 62 games (-12.05 Units / -18% ROI)
Brooklyn Nets Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone:
● 24-36 against the Spread (-15.6 Units / -22.53% ROI)
● 32-31 against the Moneyline (-20.8 Units / -14.88% ROI)
● 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
● 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nets, Ranked by Units Won:
● The Brooklyn Nets have covered the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
● The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
● The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.23 Units / 26% ROI)
● The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Nets, Ranked by Units Lost:
● The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the Moneyline in 9 of their last 31 games (-28.70 Units / -49% ROI)
● The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 games at home (-25.33 Units / -53% ROI)
● The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the Spread in 6 of their last 30 games at home (-19.30 Units / -58% ROI)
● The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 55 games (-19.11 Units / -21% ROI)
● The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 30 games at home (-14.07 Units / -43% ROI)
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets
The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535
The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524
Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Nets are 32-21 (.604) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
The Nets were 24-7 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Nets were 30-6 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .716
The Nets were 9-2 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
Injury Report: Nets vs. Heat - Thursday’s Game, Mar. 03
● Ben Simmons (Nets): Brooklyn has no set timetable for Simmons’ return, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
● Joe Harris (Nets): Nets coach Steve Nash said there’s still no update on Harris’ injury.
● Andre Drummond (Nets): Drummond is probable for Thursday’s (Mar. 3) game against Miami.
● Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has yet to be cleared for full-court work, according to David Aldridge of The Athletic.
● Markieff Morris (Heat): Morris has not played in a few months an no timetable has been announced for his return.
● Kyle Lowry (Heat): Lowry is out for Wednesday’s (Mar. 2) game against Milwaukee.
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8
The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams
Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nets averaged 1.36 points per shot (8,412 points/6,197 shots) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Nets averaged 0.57 points per possession (8,412 points/15,414 possessions) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 0.54
The Nets had a TS% of 54% last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Nets have averaged 1.33 points per shot (13,129 points/9,889 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nets averaged 6.6 steals per game (473 steals/72 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nets blocked 372 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Nets have blocked 237 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Nets have averaged 6.7 steals per game (381 steals/57 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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