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BetMGM Basketball: Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 4 | TribLIVE.com
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BetMGM Basketball: Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 4

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Ron Schwane / AP
Milwaukee Bucks’ Giannis Antetokounmpo dunks during the NBA All-Star basketball game weekend, Saturday, Feb. 19, 2022, in Cleveland.

By BetMGM Staff Writer /

● The Bucks (36-24) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (39-21)

● Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points

● Friday, March 4, 2022 at 7:30pm EST

● Watch the game on NBCS-CHI & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Chicago.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 27-36 against the spread, while the Bulls are 37-26 against the spread.

The Bucks vs Bulls Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

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Bucks vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

Milwaukee Bucks

-4.5 -110

O 240.5 -115

-190

Chicago Bulls

+4.5 -110

U 240.5 -115

155

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone:

27-36 against the Spread (-12.6 Units / -18.18% ROI)

38-25 against the Moneyline (-24.5 Units / -10.6% ROI)

32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)

31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)

Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Bucks, Ranked by Units Won:

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+17.05 Units / 26% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+13.40 Units / 42% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+12.98 Units / 9% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 48 games (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.44 Units / 15% ROI)

Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Bucks, Ranked by Units Lost:

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (-31.60 Units / -33% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 60 games (-23.13 Units / -35% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-22.43 Units / -33% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (-20.84 Units / -19% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 53 games (-17.15 Units / -29% ROI)

Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone:

37-26 against the Spread (+8.4 Units / 12.13% ROI)

39-24 against the Moneyline (+10.9 Units / 8.88% ROI)

33-28 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 3.17% ROI)

28-33 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -11.98% ROI)

Positive Value Trends Against the Spread for the Bulls, Ranked by Units Won:

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.55 Units / 28% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.95 Units / 39% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Bulls, Ranked by Units Lost:

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 games (-18.56 Units / -48% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 46 games (-16.80 Units / -34% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-16.34 Units / -27% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 54 games (-16.29 Units / -27% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-11.60 Units / -23% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Bucks are 38-4 (.905) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .776

The Bucks are 36-17 (.679) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Bucks are 23-10 (.697) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Bucks are 67-14 (.827) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls are 15-5 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

The Bulls are 17-2 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .769

The Bulls are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514

Injury Report: Bulls vs. Bucks - Friday’s Game, Mar. 04

Patrick Williams (Bulls): There is a chance Williams could return before the end of the regular season, according to a report from the Chicago Sun-Times.

Alex Caruso (Bulls): The Bulls announced that Caruso will be re-evaluated in 6-8 weeks after he has surgery to repair his fractured right wrist.

Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls announced that Ball will undergo surgery on his left knee and is expected to return in 6-8 weeks.

Pat Connaughton (Bucks): Connaughton will undergo surgery and is expected to return before the end of the regular season, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

George Hill (Bucks): Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer said Hill will miss at least another week.

Brook Lopez (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Lopez is starting to practice, but is a ways away from returning to action.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 120.1 points per game (8,649 points/72 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Bucks have made 14.1 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bucks averaged 59.2 points per game (4,264 points/72 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.8

The Bucks shot 48% (1,551/3,213) in the second half last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls are shooting 39% from three (502/1,295) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bulls have 18.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.4

The Bulls are shooting 40% from three (258/641) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bulls have averaged 0.55 points per possession (4,780 points/9,111 possessions) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 0.52

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,724 rebounds/72 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.4

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,893 rebounds/132 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Bucks have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,169 rebounds/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.2

The Bucks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (244 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 6.7 steals per game (482 steals/72 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (247 blocks/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Bulls averaged 4.2 blocks per game (304 blocks/72 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bulls have averaged 6.7 steals per game (390 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

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