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BetMGM: NFL Best Bets — Top 3 favorites in Week 14

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| Friday, December 10, 2021 10:19 a.m.
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By BetMGM staff

Week 14 brings many intriguing matchups, including some favored teams that offer bettors tons of value.

I’ve scouted the slate and found three favorites that I think will cover the spread this week. With the NFL betting lines constantly changing throughout the week, it’s best to get your picks on favored teams in as soon as possible.

Here’s a look at my NFL best bets for Week 14.

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Cowboys (-4) at Washington

Last Thursday, the Dallas Cowboys completed a stretch of three games in 12 days.

They’ve finally been able to rest up and get healthy after a disappointing past few games, losing against the Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs.

This Cowboys team is still elite, though. Despite some of their recent injury misfortune, they are still second in the league in points per game.

Dak Prescott has also been shredding defenses apart, leading his team to the fourth most pass yards per game.

I don’t believe that Washington Football Team‘s 30th-ranked pass defense can stop the Cowboys from lighting up the scoreboard this week.

I also don’t have very much faith in Washington’s offense. They’ve looked stagnant recently and have only put up a combined 34 points in their past two games. Dallas averages 29.4 points per game.

I will gladly take the Cowboys this Sunday.

Giants at Chargers (-10.5)

Last Sunday, the Los Angeles Chargers completely dismantled the Cincinnati Bengals, winning 41-22 on the road.

Now they head home to face a New York Giants team that’s down two quarterbacks. With Daniel Jones and backup Mike Glennon injured this week, the Giants had to sign Jake Fromm from the Buffalo Bills‘ practice squad to play under center this Sunday.

Fromm has never started a game in his NFL career, and with the Giants’ lack of weapons, I don’t think Fromm will have much success. The Chargers have the 13th highest blitz rate per dropback (25.5%) and the sixth highest pressure rate per dropback (27.6%). It’s hard for me to imagine that a young quarterback, getting his first start in the NFL after signing with a new team, can handle that pressure and keep up with a Chargers offense that is ninth in points scored per game (26.2).

Making things worse for New York, the Chargers are 5-2 ATS when they and their opponents have equal rest, which they’ll have in this matchup.

I expect a Chargers blowout at home this week.

Bills at Buccaneers (-3)

I’m honestly surprised the Tampa Bay Buccaneers aren’t favored by more in this game.

After losing star CB Tre’Davious White to an ACL injury, the Bills are going to have a tough time stopping the Buccaneers’ number one-ranked passing offense (311.1 yards per game).

The Bucs also have the number one rushing defense in the NFL (24.3 yards allowed per game), the fourth most sacks (32), and the fifth most interceptions (14).

On top of that, the Bills seem to have trouble with the top-tier competition. Sure, they have a win against the Chiefs, but they’ve struggled against other top teams, like the Tennessee Titans, Indianapolis Colts, and New England Patriots.

I’m taking the Bucs in this matchup.

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NFL Best Bets: Week 14 Favorites

Do these picks look like some of Week 14’s NFL best bets? Which one is your favorite?

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Place NFL Bets at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting spreads, including weekly NFL odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting experiences are at BetMGM.

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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.


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