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BetMGM: Steelers vs. Chiefs / NFL betting odds, lines & predictions for Wild Card Weekend

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Reed Hoffmann / AP
A scene from the Steelers’ Dec. 26 game against the Kansas City Chiefs: outside linebacker Ben Niemann tackles Steelers running back Najee Harris.

By BetMGM Betting /

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) play the Pittsburgh Steelers (8-7) on Sunday at 8:15 p.m. EST at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in the AFC Wild Card Round. NBC will broadcast the game.

The Chiefs are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The total (Over/Under) is 46.5 points for the game.

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Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Steelers are 1-6-1 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .361.

The Steelers are 6-7 (.462) when rushing less than 20 times since last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .153.

The Steelers are 11-2 (.846) when forcing at least one fumble since last season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .616.

The Steelers are 11-2 (.846) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .642.

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Chiefs are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .526.

The Chiefs are 6-4 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .180.

The Chiefs are 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2019 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .170.

The Chiefs are 4-3 (.571) when rushing less than 20 times since last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .153.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs, Wild Card Weekend

Chiefs RBs have averaged 9.2 yards after the catch this season — second-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 9.5 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — worst in NFL.

The Chiefs have gained at least 5 yards on 47.7% of first down plays this season — second-best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed at least 5 yards on 46.5% of first down plays this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

Chiefs RBs have gained 737 yards on 81 receptions (9.1 YPR) this season — tied for best in NFL. The Broncos have allowed 9.8 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — tied for worst in NFL.

The Steelers have rushed the ball on just 35.6% of plays from scrimmage this season — second-lowest in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 4.0 yards per carry this season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Steelers have scored on 24.4% of their drives in the first half this season — second-worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 30.5% of opponent drives in the first half this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

The Steelers have scored on 13.6% of their drives in the first quarter this season — worst in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 18.6% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — fourth-best in NFL.

Key Injuries for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Game, Wild Card Weekend

● Kansas City Chiefs - No Injuries Reported

● Pittsburgh Steelers - No Injuries Reported

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Wild Card Weekend

The Steelers have run the ball on 27% of plays (37 carries/135 plays) in the red zone this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers have run 3% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Steelers have run 21% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Steelers have run 34% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats for Wild Card Weekend

The Chiefs have scored on 49% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Chiefs ran successful plays on 74% of rush attempts in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Chiefs have gone three and out on 8% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 52% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Wild Card Weekend

The Steelers defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 57% (299 completions/527 attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%

The Steelers defense allowed opponents to catch just 299 of 509 passes (59% Reception Pct) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 68%

The Steelers defense sacked opponents 9 times in Week 17 — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (52/583) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Wild Card Weekend

The Chiefs defense allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (44 completions/56 attempts) in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%

The Chiefs defense had no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the red zone last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.5

The Chiefs defense allowed opponents to catch 44 of 54 passes (81% Reception Pct) in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%

The Chiefs defense has allowed successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

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